Dems make have peaked

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Philip Oct 25, 2012 at 17:06

www.carolinatransparency.com/votetracker/ I have been following the trends for the first week of early voting. The dems began with a rush and each day did a little better percentage wise until this last result where their% of total voted declined .5%. If the trend continues on the next several reports the Romney vote will start to catch up and surpass Obama. The GOP should be encouraging their voters and like minded unaffiliated to vote early and take that edge from the obamamites. In 2008 by the end of the first week early voting Obama supporters flooded the polling places and it was over then and there. This time the surge isn't as strong and the GOP is doing a little better, but really not enough to blunt the early obama vote. We will see.

3 Comments Leave a Reply

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  James Oct 26, 2012 8:39

  I think the list of caveats to this analysis would be much longer than the analysis itself. You can only reference Democratic or Republican votes, and at best assign percentages to each candidate based on gender and race. You have to guess at what an Unaffiliated voter is thinking. You'd have to know the number of new registrations and new voters, as everything else is just shifting the day they voted without impacting the final result vs 2008. Have fun, sure, but this website is mostly just entertainment for politicos.

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  Charles Oct 27, 2012 7:20

  Actually what we are seeing on the ground agrees with what CT is showing.

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  James Oct 28, 2012 5:39

  How can you 'see on the ground' whether the voters were newly registered, unlikely to vote, or just moving their own voting day earlier than in 2008?

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